Russian scientist to alarmists: 'Sun heats Earth!'
CHICAGO – A new "Little Ice Age" could begin in just four years, predicted Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of space research at St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia.
Abdussamatov was speaking yesterday at the Heartland Institute's Fourth International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, which began Sunday and ends today.
Abdussamatov explained that an abnormally high solar intensity over much of the twentieth century is responsible for observed warming not increased atmospheric CO2 levels. This anomally ended in the 1990s resulting in no additional warming. Abdussamatov is predicting we will see significant cooling beginning in 2013. The Russians, he added, are using the ISS to collect more data in order to refine the timing.
In another paper, Dr. Adussamatov concludes with the following warning:
Consequently, we should fear a deep temperature drop—not catastrophic global warming. Humanity must survive the serious economic, social, demographic and political consequences of a global temperature drop, which will directly affect the national interests of almost all countries and more than 80% of the population of the Earth. A deep temperature drop is a considerably greater threat to humanity than warming. However, a reliable forecast of the time of the onset and of the depth of the global temperature drop will make it possible to adjust in advance the economic activity of humanity, to considerably weaken the crisis.
For additional information, Dr. Adussamatov has a detailed description of "the common Grand 2-century cycle of solar activity," the declining phase of which we are now experiencing, on the Astrometria page of the Pulkovo Observatory Web site.